NOK Rates: What You Need to NOWA

Following on from the surprise entry of our NOK Rates blog in the Top 10 Clarus blogs of 2019, it is high time I updated it with both a look at whether OIS is trading yet and what has happened in the world of NOWA since we last wrote about it in April 2019. And […]

Moving from Libor to SOFR/SONIA – Buyside Considerations

2020 is shaping up to be an important year for the development of markets in SONIA and SOFR. Recently on 21st November in a speech the FCA outlined plans to accelerate development of SONIA markets during 2020. Although plans are well advanced, the markets are still developing liquidity in longer-dated derivatives. I recently looked at […]

SOFR Futures and Swaps – November 2019

Last week we covered SOFR Market Developments covering the comparison of SOFR derivatives volumes vs Libor and FedFunds, which highlighted the massive growth that needs to happen for SOFR to surpass Libor as the primary interest rate reference index. Every firm active in Futures and Swaps should be tracking the uptake of SOFR trading and […]

SOFR Market Developments

Last month I wrote about SONIA market developments and how trading is progressing ahead of 2022 when Libor is expected to end. In this blog I extend this analysis to the USD markets. Much like SONIA, SOFR has seen some growth over the past year, which is to be expected as USD Libor is also […]

Mechanics and Definitions of ISDA IBOR fallbacks

If an ‘IBOR rate, e.g. USD LIBOR, ceases to publish, we now know the exact methodology that will be used in derivatives contracts to calculate a replacement rate. The calculation uses compounded in-arrears Risk Free Rates, which are decided at a currency level. A spread will be added to these compounded rates, which will be […]

SONIA Term Rates – which is best?

Four providers have entered the race to provide term SONIA fixings. These terms fixings are intended to ease the uptake of SONIA and made the transition easier for end-user cash markets. The providers are LSEG, ICE, Refinitiv and Markit. We look at their proposals. Looking at the SDR data we find that 80% of SONIA […]

SOFR Discounting for Cleared Swaps

CME and LCH propose to change USD Swaps discounting and Price Alignment Interest (PAI) from Fed Funds (EFFR) to SOFR on October 17th 2020.  By creating SOFR discounting risk from that date, this change should result in a need to hedge SOFR risk and drive increased liquidity as well as extend the tenors of SOFR Swaps […]

SONIA Market Volumes – What is Going On?

SONIA has seen some growth over the past year or so which we expected. Edwin Schooling Latter, Director of Markets and Wholesale Policy at the FCA in January 2019 and Andrew Bailey, Chief Executive Officer at the FCA in July 2019, both commented on the growth of SONIA derivatives markets. In summary the market volume […]

What does SOFR volatility mean for LIBOR Fallbacks?

SOFR fixings have exhibited an elevated level of volatility in recent weeks. We look at the impact this may have on LIBOR fallback spreads for 1 month USD LIBOR. We use our IBOR Transition Management apps that we recently announced. The data shows that there are sustained periods where the realised spread has been negative, […]

CAD Rates Markets and CORRA Reform

Canadian Rates markets look to be in an especially strong place from a market infrastructure viewpoint. CAD IRS trades versus a term rate, CDOR, which is based on real quotes from six panel banks. The underlying market for CDOR, Banker Acceptances, is a growing market of significant size (CAN$85bn outstanding). Meanwhile, OIS trading vs CORRA […]