We look at the consultation for forward-looking term rates in ESTER. The number of cleared EONIA swaps is surprisingly low, suggesting a transaction-based methodology will be ruled out. A quote-based system is most likely, but this could replicate existing problems we have with EURIBOR. We note that CCP basis also makes the collation of quotes […]
The conversation on the use of RFRs (Risk Free Rates) has been developing over the past few months and in this article I will focus on cross currency swaps. The current development of markets in RFRs In most cases the focus has been on single currency swaps where the development of markets based on RFRs […]
We noticed that the SNB quoted Clarus data at the most recent CHF SARON working group. We show that Open Interest in SARON now stands at nearly CHF60bn. Most of this is in short-dated products, less than 2 years. We find that 77% of risk is traded in tenors shorter than 2 years. Markets need […]
Over the last year it has become obvious that Libor will not have a long-term future; so why are market participants still writing derivative and loan deals as well as issuing bonds linked to Libor?
Liquidity in markets linked to new benchmarks is gradually increasing but still falls short of dominating Libor-based product.
For the first time, basis trading reported to the SDRs has topped $1trn in a single month. Similarly, global basis trading has now topped $2trn cleared at LCH SwapClear in a single month. We see that average maturity of basis trades varies according to the indices being traded. Activity in 30y and 50y basis trading […]
ISDA have announced a preliminary methodology for Libor fallbacks. This will be the RFR plus a historical spread. This announcement could have a pronounced impact on basis trading. Elsewhere, we have seen continued SOFR trading and the results of the BoE Term Sonia consultation. CLARUS01 already replicates this LIBOR fallback methodology. Risk Free Rates Everywhere […]
OIS trading is seeing increasing activity in longer tenors in both USD and GBP. We look at tenor data out of LCH SwapClear to present the volumes in DV01 terms. We find that the amount of long-dated risk traded in 2018 is 2-3 times higher than in 2017. Our series on Risk Free Rates, looking […]
We have seen the first SOFR block trade in significant size. Fannie Mae have issued another $5bn of SOFR linked debt this month. SOFR Swaps Are Trading More Frequently Thanks to our SDR Alerts, I get an email every time SOFR or SOFR Basis trades. Over the month of October 2018, the frequency of these emails […]
CLARUS01 Are you currently using LIBOR01? What will you do if (when?) Libor is no longer published? We have a simple solution – use CLARUS01 instead. Find it at rfr.clarusft.com. What is CLARUS01? Libor. Risk Free Rates. Benchmark reform. We believe that Interest Rate trading is about to fundamentally change. Clarus want to help during […]
ESTER will be the European Risk Free Rate (RFR), following an announcement from the European working group. This means that ESTER will replace EONIA (and EURIBOR) as the most important interest rate in Europe. Pre-ESTER data is now available, including volumes. The race starts now to be the first to trade ESTER swaps! What You Need […]