What we need to do to fix MIFID II Data
We attempt an analysis of available MIFID II transparency data. Analysis shows that 89% of notional in vanilla EUR IRS is reported with a four-week delay. We show that at least €800bn of transaction data for vanilla, cleared EUR IRS is missing each week. We estimate that as little as 5% of notional of off-venue […]
ISDA SIMM Concentration Thresholds for IR Risk
We last looked at ISDA SIMM Concentration Thresholds in January 2017, when ISDA SIMM version 1.2 introduced the concept. That blog detailed an Excel implementation of the concentration threshold calculation for interest rate delta risk and proved very popular. The methodology in SIMM v2.2 remains the same, just the thresholds themselves are changed. Today I […]
SOFR Discounting for Cleared Swaps
CME and LCH propose to change USD Swaps discounting and Price Alignment Interest (PAI) from Fed Funds (EFFR) to SOFR on October 17th 2020. By creating SOFR discounting risk from that date, this change should result in a need to hedge SOFR risk and drive increased liquidity as well as extend the tenors of SOFR Swaps […]
SONIA Market Volumes – What is Going On?
SONIA has seen some growth over the past year or so which we expected. Edwin Schooling Latter, Director of Markets and Wholesale Policy at the FCA in January 2019 and Andrew Bailey, Chief Executive Officer at the FCA in July 2019, both commented on the growth of SONIA derivatives markets. In summary the market volume […]
ISDA SIMM v2.2 – Are you ready?
ISDA SIMM 2.2 is effective December 1, 2019 Updated with a full re-calibration and industry backtesting Initial Margin will change for all portfolios Our clients can check the impact leading up to the effective date And can be confident on implementing SIMM v2.2 on time If you are interested in joining them, we offer free trials […]
What does SOFR volatility mean for LIBOR Fallbacks?
SOFR fixings have exhibited an elevated level of volatility in recent weeks. We look at the impact this may have on LIBOR fallback spreads for 1 month USD LIBOR. We use our IBOR Transition Management apps that we recently announced. The data shows that there are sustained periods where the realised spread has been negative, […]
SOFR Swap Volumes – October 2019
SOFR vs FF Basis Swaps, a new high in Sep-19 of $19 billion SOFR Outright Swaps, less trades and notional than Aug-19 SOFR Swaps were mostly Off SEF and Cleared For On SEF, tpSEF reported the most trades Oct-19 volumes are shaping up to exceed Sep-19 LCH SwapClear reported $45 billion notional in Sep-19 Clarus […]
CAD Rates Markets and CORRA Reform
Canadian Rates markets look to be in an especially strong place from a market infrastructure viewpoint. CAD IRS trades versus a term rate, CDOR, which is based on real quotes from six panel banks. The underlying market for CDOR, Banker Acceptances, is a growing market of significant size (CAN$85bn outstanding). Meanwhile, OIS trading vs CORRA […]
NDF Clearing September 2019
CFTC data shows a sharp increase in NDF clearing since July this year. September 2019 was a record month for the notional of NDFs cleared. BIS data shows that NDF markets doubled in size between April 2016 and April 2019. Is Phase 4 of the Uncleared Margin Rules accelerating the uptake of NDF clearing? SDRView […]
CPMI-IOSCO Quantitative Disclosures 2Q 2019
Clearing Houses 2Q 2019 CPMI-IOSCO Quantitative Disclosures are now available, so lets look at what the data shows, similar to my CCP Disclosures 1Q 2019 article. Summary: Initial Margin for IRS is up 11% in the quarter and 18% in a year IM for CDS and ETD was flat in the quarter and up 12% in a year […]