In Feb 2022, I looked at BSBY and Term SOFR Swap Volumes, so today is an update for March and April.
Using SDRView, exporting USD FixedFloat Swaps (so not OIS), filter on Term SOFR Reference Indices.
The number of trades in a month increasing from:
- <10 in Oct 2021
- 342 in Dec 2021
- 603 in Feb 2022
- 967 in Mar 2022
- 686 in Apr 2022, with 3 days left to go
- All are Uncleared (and Off SEF).
A continuing increase since my last blog, low numbers compared to the 25,000 USD Libor Swaps reported in Jan 2022, but still an upward trend nevertheless.
As before I have had to filter on the following long list of reference index name variations:
Next the same chart but with gross notional by month.
Gross notional volume up from $8.5 billion in Feb 2020 to $17.5 billion in March and April with $13.2 billion with three business days to go in the month.
Checking Basis Swaps, we do not see much, just 13 Basis Swap trades in March that reference Term SOFR.
However CapFloor volumes are decent with 400-600 trades in each of the past five months, March with 596.
That’s all for a look at Term SOFR for today.
Next Swaps that reference the Bloomberg Short-term Bank Yield Index (BSBY), available here, which is series of credit sensitive reference rates that incorporate bank credit spreads and a forward term structure and updating the charts from the Feb blog.
- Oct 2021 with 80 Swaps, all Uncleared
- Dec 2021 with 95 Swaps, of which 3 are Cleared
- Jan 2022 with 42 Cleared and 105 Uncleared
- Mar 2022 with 27 Cleared and 107 Uncleared
- Ap 2022 with 41 Cleared and 91 Uncleared (with 3 days to go)
So signs of steady volumes, but very low numbers compared to USD Libor or USD SOFR Swaps.
This time I filtered on five variations of BSBY, as in the table below.
Next let’s chart gross notional volumes.
Showing that gross notional volume dropped off significantly in March and April, even though trade counts were similar. The Cleared gross notional in particular much lower for BSBY in March and April at under $1 billion in each month from the $10 billion in January, while Uncleared notional is similar.
And Basis Swaps that reference BSBY with a small number of trades, 4 each in Feb, Mar and Apr.
That’s all for BSBY today.
Term SOFR Swap volumes are on a steady and upward trend.
March with almost 1,000 trades and $17.5 billion notional, all uncleared.
CapFloors on Term SOFR with 400-600 trades per month.
BSBY trade counts steady with 30-40 cleared and 100 uncleared each month.
BSBY notional falling below $3 billion in Mar and Apr, from a high of $13 billion.
Cleared BSBY Swaps in particular responsible for the drop.
It will be interesting to see how volumes develop next quarter.